02.01 |【01】| Why this course matters ?

⚠ Because you know that…

ℹ Decision making process can be…

  • complex

  • ✅ challenging

  • NO simplicity

  • ❎ NO straight forward

 

ℹ Be mindful in the decision making process where…

  • decisions — based on forecasts

  • forecasts — subject to uncertainty

  • NO 100% confidence that actual = expectation

  • actual result far below expectation

  • actual result far above expectation

 

ℹ Decision outcomes could be varying due to…

  • risk

  • ✅ uncertainty

 

ℹ Three possible outcomes in general to be mindful…

  • 1️⃣ most likely outcome

  • 2️⃣ worst possible outcome — pessimistic

  • 3️⃣ best possible outcome — optimistic

 

ℹ Different techniques to deal with risk and uncertainty — learn useful lesson!